Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000079 0.000082 0.000086 0.000091 0.000095 0.000100 0.000106
2025-02-02 0.000073 0.000078 0.000084 0.000091 0.000099 0.000108 0.000119
2025-02-09 0.000070 0.000076 0.000084 0.000093 0.000103 0.000116 0.000131
2025-02-16 0.000067 0.000075 0.000084 0.000094 0.000107 0.000123 0.000144
2025-02-23 0.000067 0.000076 0.000086 0.000099 0.000115 0.000135 0.000163
2025-03-02 0.000064 0.000072 0.000083 0.000096 0.000113 0.000136 0.000167
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000069 0.000079 0.000093 0.000111 0.000135 0.000169
2025-03-16 0.000058 0.000067 0.000078 0.000093 0.000112 0.000138 0.000178
2025-03-23 0.000058 0.000067 0.000079 0.000094 0.000116 0.000145 0.000192
2025-03-30 0.000056 0.000065 0.000077 0.000093 0.000115 0.000147 0.000197
2025-04-06 0.000053 0.000062 0.000074 0.000090 0.000112 0.000143 0.000195
2025-04-13 0.000051 0.000060 0.000071 0.000086 0.000108 0.000140 0.000192
2025-04-20 0.000048 0.000057 0.000067 0.000083 0.000105 0.000136 0.000190
2025-04-27 0.000047 0.000056 0.000067 0.000083 0.000107 0.000141 0.000203
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000056 0.000067 0.000085 0.000110 0.000149 0.000221
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000055 0.000068 0.000086 0.000113 0.000157 0.000241
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000056 0.000070 0.000090 0.000121 0.000173 0.000279
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068 0.000087 0.000119 0.000171 0.000282
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000053 0.000065 0.000085 0.000116 0.000168 0.000280
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000085 0.000117 0.000172 0.000295
2025-06-15 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000086 0.000120 0.000181 0.000324
2025-06-22 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000085 0.000119 0.000182 0.000333
2025-06-29 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062 0.000082 0.000116 0.000177 0.000325